How CPI and inflation move forex
The market does not trade inflation; it trades the central bank's response to it. That is why gold can fall…
This section does not forecast prices. It describes how each instrument behaves: what moves it, when it moves in Vietnamese time, roughly how wide its daily range runs, and where the cost of trading it sits. That kind of information holds from week to week and stays useful, unlike a view on direction.
The way to use it is to read the article on the instrument you intend to trade before your first order in it. Each one answers the same set of questions: contract size and how to turn movement into money, what actually moves the price, the data releases worth following, the hours with real liquidity, and the costs specific to that market. Gold, crude oil, the major currency pairs and the US indices each have a different set of answers.
One habit is worth carrying through the whole section: do not move position size and stop distance across from the instrument you know to the one you are trying. For the same number of lots, the money per unit of price movement can differ several times over between a major pair and gold. Every calculation has to be redone from that instrument's own contract size — which is why every article here starts there.
The market does not trade inflation; it trades the central bank's response to it. That is why gold can fall…
Real rates, the dollar, safe-haven demand and central bank buying all move gold, but on four different clocks — which…
One lot of oil is 1,000 barrels. Beyond WTI versus Brent, the thing you must know is the contract roll…
Three indices with three different characters. 14:30-17:00 UTC is the deepest liquidity, and dividend adjustments are a regular source of…
A pip is 0.01 and pip value moves with the rate. This pair tracks US Treasury yields closely, and the…
Gold pays no interest, so a rising real rate makes it less attractive. This is why gold often falls straight…
Twenty years of data gives only twenty observations per month. The deciding question: is there a mechanism behind the pattern,…
Its daily range runs 30-50% above EUR/USD, so using the same stop distance is a recipe for being swept out.…
Five positions that look different can be one bet on the dollar. How to check your book for duplicated risk…
One lot of silver is usually 5,000 ounces, so a $0.01 move is $50 to the account. This is the…
China's PMI is a better leading indicator for the Aussie than much of Australia's own data. And AUD/USD correlates above…
The tightest spread, a moderate range and more written about it than anything else - and its best hours fall…
Gold rebates differ by almost a factor of two between brokers on the same account tier. But for anyone holding…
One lot of gold is 100 ounces, so a $1 move in price is $100 to the account. The sizing…
August 2026 payrolls came in at 162,000 against a 56,000 forecast, pushing the odds of a Fed hike to 60%.…